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Anthropic$909.22-3.1%·OpenAI$1,260.24-0.0%·Databricks$196.31+2.1%·Scale AI$47.00+0.0%·Perplexity$90.00+0.0%·xAI$94.56+1.1%·Cursor$100.00+0.0%·Stripe$72.45+0.4%·Klarna$13.96-1.8%·Revolut$53.57+0.9%·Plaid$18.00+0.0%·Chime$14.00+0.0%·SpaceX$710.05+0.8%·Anduril$135.38+4.1%·Canva$1,646.00+1.2%·Figma$42.00+0.0%·Discord$28.00+0.0%·Epic Games$36.00+0.0%·ByteDance$150.00+0.0%·Cerebras$102.53+3.5%·CoreWeave$87.58-2.3%·Figure AI$39.00+0.0%·Anthropic$909.22-3.1%·OpenAI$1,260.24-0.0%·Databricks$196.31+2.1%·Scale AI$47.00+0.0%·Perplexity$90.00+0.0%·xAI$94.56+1.1%·Cursor$100.00+0.0%·Stripe$72.45+0.4%·Klarna$13.96-1.8%·Revolut$53.57+0.9%·Plaid$18.00+0.0%·Chime$14.00+0.0%·SpaceX$710.05+0.8%·Anduril$135.38+4.1%·Canva$1,646.00+1.2%·Figma$42.00+0.0%·Discord$28.00+0.0%·Epic Games$36.00+0.0%·ByteDance$150.00+0.0%·Cerebras$102.53+3.5%·CoreWeave$87.58-2.3%·Figure AI$39.00+0.0%·

Buy / Sell Markets Deals Predict Console

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Prediction

Aggregated across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus.

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49

Adobe acquisition attempt at $20B — what happens next?

7d probability+3.9%

$12.3M$561K24h$438K4,1171y 2mo

Yes 30¢No 70¢

Trade Figma equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-10.6%

$12.1M$631K24h$277K4,2561y 2mo

Yes 60¢No 40¢

Trade Tempus AI equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-5.5%

$12.1M$628K24h$277K1,1981y 2mo

Yes 35¢No 65¢

Trade Ripple equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2027?

7d probability+1.6%

$11.9M$779K24h$289K3,0071y 2mo

Yes 55¢No 45¢

Trade Revolut equity

Acquired before 2027?

7d probability-5.1%

$11.8M$497K24h$424K8641y 2mo

Yes 30¢No 70¢

Trade Plaid equity

IPO TimingMithril

SpaceX IPO in 2026?

7d probability-10.1%

$11.5M$1.0M24h$402K4,3201y 2mo

Cross-source24% spread

Yes 75¢No 25¢

Trade xAI (SpaceX) equity

TikTok US ban or sale in 2026?

7d probability+1.3%

$11.2M$843K24h$251K8421y 2mo

Yes 45¢No 55¢

Trade TikTok (US) equity

AI Infrastructure

IPO TimingPolymarket

CoreWeave IPO before end of 2027?

7d probability-0.6%

$11.0M$1.1M24h$4.2M3,5258 months left

Cross-source8% spread

Trade on Polymarket

Sports/Commerce

IPO TimingMithril

IPO before 2027?

7d probability+6.6%

$10.7M$458K24h$190K1,6151y 2mo

Yes 45¢No 55¢

Trade Fanatics equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO at $2T+ in 2026?

7d probability+2.5%

$10.7M$768K24h$364K6398 months left

Yes 60¢No 40¢

Trade SpaceX equity

IPO TimingMithril

Canva files S-1 before Q4 2026?

7d probability+7.4%

$10.2M$648K24h$3.0M2,1401 months left

Yes 26¢No 74¢

Trade Canva equity

ValuationsMithril

TikTok (US) valuation exceeds $90B by 2027?

7d probability+0.9%

$10.1M$767K24h$2.6M90011 months left

Yes 44¢No 56¢

Trade TikTok (US) equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-1.0%

$10.0M$305K24h$150K4,9558 months left

Yes 70¢No 30¢

Trade Canva equity

IPO TimingPolymarket

xAI (SpaceX) IPO before end of 2027?

7d probability+2.8%

$9.9M$534K24h$2.8M3,7182 months left

Cross-source24% spread

Trade on Polymarket

Crypto/Payments

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability+5.5%

$9.4M$595K24h$198K4,9238 months left

Yes 70¢No 30¢

Trade Circle equity

Revenue MilestonesMithril

Stripe ARR surpasses $11B in 2026?

7d probability+4.4%

$9.1M$732K24h$3.7M2,93811 months left

Yes 69¢No 31¢

Trade Stripe equity

Relativity Space

Product LaunchesMithril

Terran R launches in 2026?

7d probability+4.7%

$8.4M$643K24h$135K1,0861y 2mo

Yes 35¢No 65¢

Trade Relativity Space equity

AI Infrastructure

IPO TimingKalshi

CoreWeave public listing by 2028?

7d probability-0.6%

$8.3M$789K24h$3.2M3,5248 months left

Cross-source8% spread

Trade on Kalshi

Revenue MilestonesMithril

Revenue >$500M in 2026?

7d probability+6.2%

$7.8M$561K24h$339K3,8801y 2mo

Yes 45¢No 55¢

Trade Perplexity equity

Revenue MilestonesMithril

Revenue >$1B in 2026?

7d probability+4.8%

$7.7M$382K24h$257K3,5681y 2mo

Yes 55¢No 45¢

Trade Deel equity

ValuationsMithril

OpenAI valuation exceeds $1278B by 2027?

7d probability-6.5%

$7.2M$545K24h$1.6M1,1043 months left

Yes 63¢No 37¢

Trade OpenAI equity

ExitsPolymarket

Databricks acquired by Big Tech before 2028?

7d probability-7.3%

$6.4M$573K24h$1.2M1,89410 months left

Trade on Polymarket

Product LaunchesMithril

TikTok (US) announces AI partnership with major cloud in 2026?

7d probability+0.9%

$6.2M$472K24h$1.6M90011 months left

Yes 63¢No 37¢

Trade TikTok (US) equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability+1.5%

$5.7M$217K24h$439K3,4248 months left

Yes 50¢No 50¢

Trade Stripe equity

ValuationsMithril

$60B valuation in 2026?

7d probability-3.7%

$5.3M$114K24h$319K3688 months left

Yes 55¢No 45¢

Trade Anduril equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-10.7%

$5.2M$108K24h$444K3251y 2mo

Yes 42¢No 58¢

Trade Discord equity

IPO TimingPolymarket

Anthropic IPO before end of 2027?

7d probability-8.3%

$5.0M$430K24h$1.9M4,1766 months left

Cross-source19% spread

Trade on Polymarket

Revenue MilestonesKalshi

OpenAI reports profitable quarter before 2027?

7d probability-6.5%

$5.0M$377K24h$1.1M1,1043 months left

Trade on Kalshi

ValuationsManifold

xAI (SpaceX) valuation doubles by end of 2027?

7d probability+2.8%

$5.0M$267K24h$1.4M3,7182 months left

Trade on Manifold

Revenue MilestonesMithril

Revenue >$500M in 2026?

7d probability+3.5%

$4.8M$148K24h$173K2,4201y 2mo

Yes 50¢No 50¢

Trade Ramp equity

RegulatoryPolymarket

Canva faces SEC/CFTC action in 2026?

7d probability+4.2%

$4.4M$278K24h$1.3M2,1391 months left

Trade on Polymarket

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability+4.2%

$4.3M$316K24h$335K2,6958 months left

Cross-source7% spread

Yes 35¢No 65¢

Trade Shein equity

Revenue MilestonesKalshi

ByteDance reports profitable quarter before 2027?

7d probability+3.7%

$4.3M$219K24h$976K2,1111 months left

Trade on Kalshi

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability+3.9%

$4.3M$215K24h$224K3,8288 months left

Yes 85¢No 15¢

Trade Cerebras equity

RegulatoryPolymarket

Databricks faces SEC/CFTC action in 2026?

7d probability-7.3%

$4.3M$382K24h$828K1,89510 months left

Trade on Polymarket

RegulatoryMetaculus

Stripe regulatory approval in new market in 2026?

7d probability+4.4%

$4.1M$333K24h$1.7M2,93711 months left

Trade on Metaculus

ValuationsMithril

Anthropic valuation exceeds $570B by 2027?

7d probability-8.3%

$4.1M$349K24h$1.5M4,1766 months left

Yes 61¢No 39¢

Trade Anthropic equity

ValuationsManifold

SpaceX valuation doubles by end of 2027?

7d probability-2.7%

$3.6M$127K24h$612K4529 months left

Trade on Manifold

IPO TimingMetaculus

ByteDance strategic exit (M&A or IPO) in 2026-27?

7d probability+3.7%

$2.9M$146K24h$651K2,1121 months left

Trade on Metaculus

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-2.3%

$2.8M$111K24h$322K3,6461y 2mo

Yes 55¢No 45¢

Trade Databricks equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO before 2028?

7d probability+1.6%

$2.5M$243K24h$124K2,1528 months left

Yes 40¢No 60¢

Trade OpenAI equity

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-7.5%

$2.3M$81K24h$120K4,7188 months left

Cross-source19% spread

Yes 65¢No 35¢

Trade Anthropic equity

RegulatoryMetaculus

SpaceX regulatory approval in new market in 2026?

7d probability-2.7%

$2.2M$79K24h$383K4529 months left

Trade on Metaculus

Revenue MilestonesKalshi

Revolut reports profitable quarter before 2027?

7d probability+6.4%

$1.9M$84K24h$370K1,6784 months left

Trade on Kalshi

Product LaunchesManifold

Revolut launches flagship product by Q3 2026?

7d probability+6.4%

$1.5M$65K24h$287K1,6784 months left

Trade on Manifold

Revenue MilestonesKalshi

Shein reports profitable quarter before 2027?

7d probability+2.2%

$710K$20K24h$256K3,0448 months left

Trade on Kalshi

IPO TimingMithril

IPO in 2026?

7d probability-7.2%

$655K$32K24h$450K1,2238 months left

Yes 55¢No 45¢

Trade Chime equity

IPO TimingMetaculus

Shein strategic exit (M&A or IPO) in 2026-27?

7d probability+2.2%

$473K$13K24h$170K3,0438 months left

Cross-source7% spread

Trade on Metaculus

TikTok US ban or divestiture in 2026?

7d probability-0.4%

$462K$11K24h$417K3,9881y 2mo

Yes 40¢No 60¢

Trade ByteDance equity

How it works

1

Pick a Market

Browse markets on IPOs, valuations, funding rounds, and M&A. Each asks a question about a real company event.

2

Buy Yes or No

Buy shares at the current probability using USDC. If you're right, you get $1 per share at resolution.

3

On-Chain Settlement

Markets resolve via UMA's Optimistic Oracle — fully on-chain, verifiable, and self-custodial.

Powered by UMA Optimistic Oracle

All prediction markets on Mithril resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle (OO V3) — the same resolution layer that settles billions of dollars of prediction market volume. A proposer posts an answer, anyone can dispute it during the challenge window, and contested calls go to a UMA token-holder vote. Fully on-chain, fully verifiable.

Resolution

On-chain

Challenge Window

24-72h

Settlement

Automatic

Custody

Self-custodial

Mithril is an interface provider, not a broker-dealer or registered exchange. Native prediction markets resolve via UMA's Optimistic Oracle on Base L2. External markets (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus) are operated by their respective licensed platforms. Prediction markets may be subject to CFTC jurisdiction. Trading involves risk of total loss including bond forfeiture. Not financial advice. Full disclosures

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71 companies·4 venues·Real-time prices

Trust|Compliance|Terms|Privacy|Disclosures|Security|FAQ|API

Not financial advice. Mithril is a non-custodial interface. Not a broker-dealer, not an exchange, not a registered investment adviser. Private-company and tokenized-equity positions are illiquid, long-dated, and carry the risk of total loss. Not SIPC protected. You control all transaction parameters. Regulatory posture is detailed on the compliance map and subject to outside counsel's opinion.

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